Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 117.140767 129.599930 142.421827 156.575568 171.733581 187.452952 204.959083
2024-10-27 96.249442 114.528583 134.311295 157.193087 182.808957 210.483420 242.521318
2024-11-03 83.545141 106.335527 132.153754 163.266677 199.436188 239.858020 288.137423
2024-11-10 72.441225 98.342306 128.973015 167.293108 213.358761 266.372860 331.391111
2024-11-17 63.811537 92.050708 126.802397 171.768871 227.439854 293.145937 375.552214
2024-11-24 57.153896 87.283576 125.750372 177.058940 242.252167 320.895676 421.423414
2024-12-01 47.387568 77.197910 116.848706 171.511164 242.910233 331.027778 445.895139
2024-12-08 40.404395 70.009314 110.930151 169.072600 246.918816 344.942618 474.915546
2024-12-15 35.780263 65.598322 108.265742 170.522193 255.676476 364.751071 511.459040
2024-12-22 32.131200 62.175688 106.591575 173.006395 265.625373 386.089993 550.181723
2024-12-29 30.015513 60.869130 107.772111 179.364620 280.818901 414.438088 598.327379
2025-01-05 27.664067 58.883399 107.711585 183.795686 293.338835 439.390307 642.403073
2025-01-12 24.135494 54.578721 103.890299 182.665943 298.246704 454.588020 674.447985
2025-01-19 21.145304 50.831080 100.616941 182.100133 303.834539 470.763347 708.088213
2025-01-26 19.767967 49.858017 101.697610 188.117673 318.989337 500.275433 760.092305
2025-02-02 18.161116 48.235240 101.547537 192.146725 331.279586 526.017948 807.404223
2025-02-09 16.832324 46.975948 101.871503 196.842140 344.574755 553.312675 857.167382
2025-02-16 15.780293 46.141922 102.836036 202.533765 359.434716 583.016890 910.638441
2025-02-23 13.137956 41.510124 96.698951 196.323579 356.021656 586.637169 928.059208
2025-03-02 11.288783 38.308370 92.840494 193.581729 357.676314 597.370048 955.364400
2025-03-09 10.160014 36.603330 91.614529 195.153810 365.971357 617.752251 996.401415
2025-03-16 9.268720 35.333303 91.104502 197.879000 376.078249 640.881050 1041.573451
2025-03-23 8.885705 35.312848 93.027662 204.881737 393.095386 674.388348 1101.880744